The table below illustrates a few interesting points about how different investments and strategies fared through the crisis and the ongoing recovery. The table below shows the price performance of the efficient instruments we would use to gain exposure to each of those sectors. It is by no means a complete list, just a few read more

In the last three days there has been a sharp depreciation of the dollar against the euro and the pound, and to a lesser degree against the reai and won. This re-ignition of the debate about whether the dollar will continue to dominate the global financial system. Our opinion is that there is no natural read more

The last three days of market selloffs (-3.4% in the S&P500, -4.4% in Europe, or -4.2% for the BRICs) has generated a debate on whether we are in for a more serious pullback. Some are saying that the rally had not been for real nor based on fundamental improvements. Numbers like “another -10/-20%” are being read more

The Fed said they are prepared to buy US Treasuries outright, which is a policy action that can be analyzed from many angles, some more complicated than others. The bottom line is that it increases the probability that we end up paying for the current fiscal expansion and balance sheet problems through the inflation tax read more

After a week being back from my favorite southern country (Uruguay), I realize not much has changed in G7’s policy stance. At the same time, markets away from the US banking system seem to be normalizing. I think US policy continues to pollute the picture with its lack of clear direction/diagnostics. Every macro tool available read more

Last week I attended a seminar by Nobel Prize Winner Bob Lucas, on the current international credit crisis. He gave a very big picture view based on a comparison to the 1930s crisis. His bottom line was that as opposed to the Fed response in 1931, this time around the Fed policy response is not read more